STEADYTRADE
Strategy backtests · past-window simulation, not investment advice
BTC/USDTETH/USDT

Grid · ETH/USDT

Buy the dips, sell the bounces inside a fixed band. Profitable in range, bleeds when the band breaks.

Total return
31.6%
10,000 → 13,161
vs buy & hold
-244.2%
over the same period 275.8%
Max drawdown
55.4%
10,000 → 5,286
Longest underwater
2088
2088 days · 99% of the period
Settings that beat it
0 / 16
of 16 parameter settings tested
Win rate
100%
95% CI 95%–100% · n=81
This lost to simply buying and holding.

Over 2018-01-01 → 2026-09-23 it returned 31.6% while buying once on the first day and never touching it returned 275.8% — 244.2% worse. Not one of the 16 parameter settings tested beat the benchmark. The median setting returned 29.1%.

It spent 2088 days below its previous high at the longest stretch — 99% of the whole period under water.

Price & fills

Equity

account equitybuy & holddashed = starting capital

162 fills. Signals are taken on the close and filled at the next open.

A 0% risk of ruin here is a property of the test, not a safety rating. These runs are long-only spot with no borrowed money, so there is no margin call and nothing can force the position closed. The account cannot be wiped out — it gets stuck holding the asset instead. Capital deployed (10×) and max drawdown (55.4%) are the numbers that carry the risk on this page. The same rules run on margin would be a different measurement, and this figure would not stay at zero.

Outcome distribution

A single return is one chosen start date. These are 95 runs of the same rules with the start shifted forward 30 days at a time.

Worstp10p25Medianp75p90BestLosing starts
-68.7%-32.1%-9.8% 6.5%14.8% 20.6%42.6%33%

Does it survive its own parameters?

The headline above uses one parameter setting. Here is every setting tested: 16 combinations, median 29.1%, best 67.1%, worst 10.1%. 0 of them beat buy & hold.

A strategy that only works at one setting did not work — it was fitted.

Parameter grid

Grid run across its own parameter range over the full period. The same rules flip from profit to loss depending only on the numbers you picked — which is why a single headline return is meaningless on its own.

levels 5levels 10levels 20levels 30
rangePct 0.1517%22%16%10%
rangePct 0.2520%32%27%17%
rangePct 0.429%42%45%29%
rangePct 0.633%54%67%48%

Hover a cell for trade count and drawdown. “·” = invalid combination (fast ≥ slow).

Year by year

Year201820192020202120222023202420252026
Return-42%16%14%2%-47%2%14%13%-1%
Max DD55%15%11%0%52%0%5%38%33%
Trades6260385137395513

Recent closed trades

ClosedP&L (USDT)Held
2022-06-19 +30.87
2021-01-05 +30.87
2021-01-03 +30.87
2021-01-03 +32.31
2021-01-03 +33.89
2021-01-03 +35.62
2021-01-03 +37.52
2021-01-02 +39.62
2020-12-30 +39.62
2020-12-28 +41.96
2020-12-27 +44.57
2020-12-26 +47.50
2020-12-24 +50.83
2020-12-17 +47.50
2020-12-16 +50.83
2020-12-06 +50.83
2020-12-02 +50.83
2020-11-30 +50.83
2020-11-23 +50.83
2018-06-03 +50.83
2018-05-24 +50.83
2018-05-19 +41.96
2018-05-17 +41.96
2018-05-13 +41.96
2018-05-13 +44.57

What it is

Reference — Glowwiki: 그리드 트레이딩
The definitions and formulas below follow that article. It states its own limit plainly:
“실제 수익으로 이어지는지는 이 문서에서 다루지 않음.”
That is the question this page answers.

Note from the reference: The name "grid trading" has no regulator or encyclopaedia definition — the reference article establishes this explicitly. What does have one is the mechanism: the CFTC glossary defines Scale Down/Up as buying or selling at regular price intervals as the market declines or advances. Placing that ladder in both directions at once is an extension of that definition, not something the source describes.

Rule-based range trading, widely automated on FX and crypto venues. The name itself has no official definition. Also known as Range grid, ladder.

Formulas

Grid step
Δ = (upper − lower) / N
N = number of levels
Profit per round trip
π = q · Δ − fees
q = size per level
Break-even step
Δ > p · (2f + 2s)
Fees and slippage on both legs set a floor on grid spacing

Established

Conventional reading

Listed as convention, not as established fact.

Sources

  1. Glossary — Scale Down (or Up) — U.S. CFTC (en)
  2. 그리드 트레이딩 — Glowwiki (ko)

Assumptions

Period2018-01-01 → 2026-09-23
Parameters{"rangePct":0.25,"levels":10,"allocPct":0.08}
Fees0.10% taker + 0.05% slippage, both legs
Starting capital10,000 USDT · long-only spot, no leverage
Rolling test365 bars × 95 start dates
Input hash221c60f0a6ee8039

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