Buy once on the first bar and never touch it. The benchmark every other strategy on this site is measured against.
1 fills. Signals are taken on the close and filled at the next open.
A single return is one chosen start date. These are 62 runs of the same rules with the start shifted forward 30 days at a time.
| Worst | p10 | p25 | Median | p75 | p90 | Best | Losing starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -9.3% | -5.1% | 1.9% | 15.7% | 37.5% | 45.8% | 72.9% | 23% |
The numbers above are one market on one timeframe. A rule that only works there did not work — the market did.
Same rules, same parameters, different candle size on Gold (PAXG).
| Timeframe | Trades | Return | Buy & hold | vs B&H | Beat it | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4H | 13281 | 119% | 119% | +0% | no | 0 |
| 1D ← | 2214 | 119% | 119% | +0% | no | 0 |
| 1W | 316 | 123% | 123% | +0% | no | 0 |
Same rules, same parameters, different asset — daily candles.
| Market | Return | Buy & hold | vs B&H | Beat it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USDT | 530% | — | — | — |
| ETH/USDT | 276% | — | — | — |
| Gold (PAXG) ← | 119% | — | — | — |
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | -5% | -1% | 11% | 30% | 64% | -1% |
| Max DD | 16% | 21% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 28% |
| Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Period | 2020-09-01 → 2026-09-23 |
| Parameters | {} |
| Fees | 0.10% taker + 0.05% slippage, both legs |
| Starting capital | 10,000 USDT · long-only spot, no leverage |
| Rolling test | 365 bars × 62 start dates |
| Input hash | 40909febb6ac4319 |